Get ready for the mother of all loan defaults in Indian corporate
history. Scores of mid-range companies which issued foreign currency
convertible bonds (FCCBs) in 2006-08 are now in no position to repay.*
history. Scores of mid-range companies which issued foreign currency
convertible bonds (FCCBs) in 2006-08 are now in no position to repay.*
With over Rs 31,500 crore due between now and June 2012, they all have
to either renegotiate with their bondholders or default on their
obligations. The third option is to lower the price at which these
bonds will be converted to equity, but this will entail loss of
promoter stakeholding — an option few promoters want to consider.
to either renegotiate with their bondholders or default on their
obligations. The third option is to lower the price at which these
bonds will be converted to equity, but this will entail loss of
promoter stakeholding — an option few promoters want to consider.
The Reserve Bank of India tried to pre-empt disaster by extending the
deadline for the buyback of FCCBs from June this year to March next
year, but little is likely to happen between now and that deadline.
When you have no cash in hand, extending deadlines only postpones the
inevitable.
deadline for the buyback of FCCBs from June this year to March next
year, but little is likely to happen between now and that deadline.
When you have no cash in hand, extending deadlines only postpones the
inevitable.
FCCBs are bonds issued in a foreign currency and sold offshore with an
option to convert to equity at pre-determined conversion prices.
Reuters
option to convert to equity at pre-determined conversion prices.
Reuters
The financial condition and share prices of a large percentage of over
200 companies that have taken these unsecured loans does not generate
confidence in their ability to cobble up the funds to meet the
deadline. FCCBs, as mentioned in an earlier post, are bonds issued in
a foreign currency and sold offshore with an embedded option to
convert to equity at pre-determined conversion prices. According to
Prime Data Base, 201 companies raised close to Rs 72,000 crore from
international markets between 2005 and 2008. A large chunk of this
money was supposed to be used for foreign acquisitions or import of
capital goods.
200 companies that have taken these unsecured loans does not generate
confidence in their ability to cobble up the funds to meet the
deadline. FCCBs, as mentioned in an earlier post, are bonds issued in
a foreign currency and sold offshore with an embedded option to
convert to equity at pre-determined conversion prices. According to
Prime Data Base, 201 companies raised close to Rs 72,000 crore from
international markets between 2005 and 2008. A large chunk of this
money was supposed to be used for foreign acquisitions or import of
capital goods.
However, a number of promoters took this to be "free money" which need
not be repaid. As in the case of the US real estate bubble, the basic
assumption was that prices — share prices, in this case — will always
rise, and thus there will be no need to repay the bonds as they will
be converted to equity. This theory fell flat on its face with the
crash in equity markets.
not be repaid. As in the case of the US real estate bubble, the basic
assumption was that prices — share prices, in this case — will always
rise, and thus there will be no need to repay the bonds as they will
be converted to equity. This theory fell flat on its face with the
crash in equity markets.
Share prices of over 70 percent of the companies are trading between 5
and 60 percent of their conversion price. This rules out the equity
conversion clause for most companies.
and 60 percent of their conversion price. This rules out the equity
conversion clause for most companies.
This brings us to the other option of paying back the principal amount
— the coupon interest rate was negligible between 0 and 3 percent. Of
the 77 FCCBs, which will be maturing by June 2012, 16 companies are
loss-making. Over 50 companies have not allocated enough funds in
their bank accounts to pay back the principal. Over 60 percent of the
companies are not in a position to raise further funds, given their
stretched balance-sheets. In other words, redeeming the bonds is also
ruled out for a majority of the companies.
— the coupon interest rate was negligible between 0 and 3 percent. Of
the 77 FCCBs, which will be maturing by June 2012, 16 companies are
loss-making. Over 50 companies have not allocated enough funds in
their bank accounts to pay back the principal. Over 60 percent of the
companies are not in a position to raise further funds, given their
stretched balance-sheets. In other words, redeeming the bonds is also
ruled out for a majority of the companies.
This leaves us with only two options — renegotiate with the
bondholders or default. Some of the companies are basket cases, with
no worthwhile business whatsoever; these are sureshot candidates for
defaults.
bondholders or default. Some of the companies are basket cases, with
no worthwhile business whatsoever; these are sureshot candidates for
defaults.
The last option left is to renegotiate the terms by extending the
tenure. But companies like Karur KCP Packaging have set a bad example.
The company 'managed' a favourable rescheduling of its FCCBs at lower
prices and forced a concocted package on minority bondholders. A
Singapore-based hedge fund, 3 Degrees Asset Management, has moved the
RBI against the company.
tenure. But companies like Karur KCP Packaging have set a bad example.
The company 'managed' a favourable rescheduling of its FCCBs at lower
prices and forced a concocted package on minority bondholders. A
Singapore-based hedge fund, 3 Degrees Asset Management, has moved the
RBI against the company.
Karur KCP had raised $10 million in April 2006 through FCCBs bearing a
2 percent interest and a conversion price of Rs 75. The bonds were due
to expire on 27 April, 2011. But by clandestine purchases of a
portion of the FCCBs, the company managed to get the tenure of the
security extended by another 10 years and the interest rate was cut to
zero. The hedge fund has alleged fraud and manipulations in the
company's scheme. The foreign fund is planning to initiate legal
proceedings against the issuer.
2 percent interest and a conversion price of Rs 75. The bonds were due
to expire on 27 April, 2011. But by clandestine purchases of a
portion of the FCCBs, the company managed to get the tenure of the
security extended by another 10 years and the interest rate was cut to
zero. The hedge fund has alleged fraud and manipulations in the
company's scheme. The foreign fund is planning to initiate legal
proceedings against the issuer.
All eyes are now on Wockhardt, the first major FCCB defaulter, which
has become a test case for future defaulters. The case in now being
fought in the Bombay High Court. Wockhardt had issued a 0 percent
FCCB in October 2004, valued at $110 million. The redemption value in
October 2009 stood at $140 million. QVT, a US-based $9-billion multi-
strategy fund and a bondholder of the company, along with an overseas
unit of Sun Pharma, dragged the company to the Bombay High Court with
a winding-up petition after it defaulted on its payments when the
bonds matured.
has become a test case for future defaulters. The case in now being
fought in the Bombay High Court. Wockhardt had issued a 0 percent
FCCB in October 2004, valued at $110 million. The redemption value in
October 2009 stood at $140 million. QVT, a US-based $9-billion multi-
strategy fund and a bondholder of the company, along with an overseas
unit of Sun Pharma, dragged the company to the Bombay High Court with
a winding-up petition after it defaulted on its payments when the
bonds matured.
However, a division bench of the high court granted ad-interim relief
by staying the admission of the winding-up petition. The court had
directed the company to deposit 25 percent of the disputed amount with
the court, which it did. The matter is being closely followed by both
the bondholders and companies who had issued FCCBs.
by staying the admission of the winding-up petition. The court had
directed the company to deposit 25 percent of the disputed amount with
the court, which it did. The matter is being closely followed by both
the bondholders and companies who had issued FCCBs.
Earlier, a US-based hedge fund, DE Shaw, and Citadel Investment Group
had filed a winding-up petition against Chandigarh-based Venus
Remedies after the company defaulted on an FCCB issue. However, the
matter was resolved last year.
had filed a winding-up petition against Chandigarh-based Venus
Remedies after the company defaulted on an FCCB issue. However, the
matter was resolved last year.
Some companies who fear a black-listing in international markets have
started a negotiation process with bondholders to restructure their
FCCBs. Assam Company, Suzlon, and Subex are some of them who have
initiated talks with their bondholders. Some like Reliance
Communications have managed to pay one of the FCCBs by borrowing money
in the Chinese market.
started a negotiation process with bondholders to restructure their
FCCBs. Assam Company, Suzlon, and Subex are some of them who have
initiated talks with their bondholders. Some like Reliance
Communications have managed to pay one of the FCCBs by borrowing money
in the Chinese market.
There is, however, one final option, which very few promoters in India
opt for; this is resetting the conversion price. In other words, it
will lower the price at which bonds will be converted. Conversion at a
lower price would mean higher stake dilution for the promoter, which
is normally unacceptable to them, as was the case with Wockhardt,
which rejected the bondholder's compromise formula of lowering the
conversion price resulting in the winding-up notice.
opt for; this is resetting the conversion price. In other words, it
will lower the price at which bonds will be converted. Conversion at a
lower price would mean higher stake dilution for the promoter, which
is normally unacceptable to them, as was the case with Wockhardt,
which rejected the bondholder's compromise formula of lowering the
conversion price resulting in the winding-up notice.
Still, a lot of companies have recently reset their FCCB conversion
prices closer to their share prices and these include Suzlon, SpiceJet
and Gitanjali Gems.
prices closer to their share prices and these include Suzlon, SpiceJet
and Gitanjali Gems.
No matter how the companies solve their issues, one thing is fairly
certain: the FCCB market for Indian companies is virtually closed,
except for Triple A companies. Most of the FCCBs issued in the
European markets during the 2006-08 boom were handled by two Indian
investment bankers, both of whom have shut shop and moved their base
to India and Singapore.
certain: the FCCB market for Indian companies is virtually closed,
except for Triple A companies. Most of the FCCBs issued in the
European markets during the 2006-08 boom were handled by two Indian
investment bankers, both of whom have shut shop and moved their base
to India and Singapore.
Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
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