Kingfisher Airlines & UB Holdings Are Insolvent-Sell
With negative equity value at KAIR, it should be no surprise that UB, which has
marketable assets of Rs. 47,134M (US$ 1,037 M), compared to guarantees
provided on behalf of KAIR of Rs. 168,529M (US$ 3,638M), is also staring into a
black hole
2. We believe that the ill-conceived foray into the airline businesshas already cost UB shareholders dearly, and that their ownership of India's
premier liquor and beer assets has been sacrificed at the altar of egoistic
ambitions.
More importantly, we believe that unless the banking institutions have
provisioned judiciously for the debt provided to KAIR - approximately Rs.
45,670M (US$ 986M) in loans to Kingfisher in addition to standby letters of
credit, etc. – it renders the disclosed capital position of the banks unreliable.
We also find the recent exhortations by the Indian Civil Aviation Ministry
involving Air India – the state owned carrier - to pull its act together
duplicitous. Our view stems from the fact that it could be on the diktat of the
regulatory authorities involving various ministries of the Government of India
that an unviable airline, KAIR, which is competing against the incumbent state
carrier and siphoning away its passengers on both the domestic and
international routes, is being supported via taxpayer-funded financial
institutions.
It's not only the financial institutions that are suffering. As per the F11 AR, KAIR
was also in default of the dues owed on behalf of its employees to regulatory
authorities, which it doesn't count as debt. As per the auditors of Kingfisher,
"Undisputed amounts payable in respect of employees state insurance of Rs.0.75 lacs (US$
1,619), provident fund of Rs.43.80 lacs (US$ 94,564), tax deducted at source of Rs. 42,297.52
lacs (US$ 93M), service tax of Rs.1,047.76 lacs (US$ 2.3M), professional tax of Rs.2.46 lacs
(US$ 5,412) (In all cases relating to the years 2008-09, 2009- 2010 and 2010 - 2011) and
fringe benefit tax of Rs. 450.70 lacs (US$ 1M) (balance of tax and interest for the financial
year 2008-09) …). The due dates for these amounts are as per respective statutes3.
Clearly, KAIR is funding itself at the expense of its employees and the Indian
exchequer, to which it owed tax deducted at source on behalf of its
employees of Rs. 4,229M (US$ 93M) as per the F11 AR.
We also find that the auditors have "qualified" reported financials of KAIR, on
multiple occasions, referencing accounting policy changes and expressing
disagreement with management's interpretation of Indian Accounting
Standards. Such practices would be subject to regulatory scrutiny in N.
America. Therefore, we believe that investors have neither reliable nor timely
information on Kingfisher.
With financial defaults galore, including salary delays, as outlined in recent
media reports, it is time the financial institutions put an end to the misery of
KAIR and let other airlines that can take to the sky, fly. Moreover, we also
believe that the current management of UB has lost all legitimacy to run the
vast liquor and beer business, and that the financial institutions should auction
the collateral to the highest bidder and recoup whatever is left for their
respective shareholders.
SELL UB Holdings Limited. SELL KAIR. We believe that both organizations are
effectively insolvent.
Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
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