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Sunday, February 13, 2011

[T.S.R:16895] Sensex: A Brief Turnaround From 17300, then A Fall To 9100 (Orpheus Capital)


Alpha Global Indices – Sensex. Worst case scenario

While over the short-term SENSEX should see a minor bounce from around 17,300 levels, the overall picture looks grim. We have initially stated that the current decline is a primary degree zigzag that could retest 16,000. Well, checking the charts since 1993 would bring additional information: the whole 17 years price action seems to be a whole cycle degree impulse (with a truncation on its circle 5 subdivision). This means that we could be in a much larger corrective pattern than initially assumed. And this would be a cycle degree zigzag to 9,300 or even 9,100. Keep in mind though, that this is just a worst case scenario, we are not necessarily counting on that, at least not yet.

 

 

 

 

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives long only, short only, pair trading signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are carried over minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days) time frame. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

 

Naked and/or pair strategies are not riskless strategies. Time arbitrage portfolio legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the Orpheus Research products.

 

Dan-Andrei Rusu graduated in 2005 the Faculty of Economics Cluj-Napoca, "Dimitrie Cantemir" University. In the same year he joined BT Securities as a financial analyst. He is currently the Head of Research at BT Securities and a speaker with Romanian Brokers' Association. He is an MTA (Market Technicians Association, New York) affiliate and cleared CMT level 1 exam. He is a contributing columnist for Orpheus Capitals for the ALPHA GLOBAL INDICES
 

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Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 

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