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Thursday, September 30, 2010

[T.S.R:15797] Paint Producers May Raise Price Again As Input Costs Rise

Chemical producer Celanese Corp. said Monday that it will increase the price of all emulsions sold globally as of Oct. 1, including a hike of 5 cents per pound on pure 100 percent acrylic emulsions in North, Central and South America.

Celanese ( CEPR - news people ) shares fell $1.55, or 5.1 percent, to $28.96 in after-hours trading, after closing up $1.51, or 5.2 percent, at $30.51 on Monday during the regular session.

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Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 


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[T.S.R:15796] Speculative Buys



New 40 days Chart
Nifty sl 5650-5700 clg abv 6000 t-6350 n finally 6995 by budget
minor dips exptd

Dlv : Monsanto t-4000/ trent t-2500/ ganesh hsg t-350/ ubl t-600/ xproindia
t-90/ indorama t-90-100

tradg watch atlanta t-550/ aegis log t-450

dlv : KRBL/ deltacorp/ abhishekind


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Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 


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[T.S.R:15801] Arvind Ltd


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[T.S.R:15795] Pimco-Moderate your return expectation




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[T.S.R:15801] Coal India


CARE assigns 'IPO Grade 5' to Coal India's IPO
 
Rating agency, CARE, on Monday said it has assigned a ' Grade 5' grading to the proposed initial public offer (IPO) of Coal India Ltd, indicating the "strong fundamentals" of the IPO. 

The company plans to come out with its IPO of 631,636,440 equity shares of face value of Rs 10 each. 

CARE pointed out the assigned grading reflects (CIL)'s dominance in the Indian coal industry. CIL contributes to around 82 per cent of coal production in India. 

The balance 18 per cent is produced mainly for captive consumption by manufacturing/power companies. Thus practically, CIL holds the monopoly in traded coal available domestically, a press release issued here stated. 

Besides, CIL's strong financial position with cash balances of Rs 39,077 crore with a comfortable gearing ratio give it immense financial flexibility to fund its on-going and planned expansion projects. 

Moreover, CIL is one of the lowest-cost producers giving it an pricing edge over imported coal. The grading also factors experienced management and impressive track record of operations, CARE said in its release.
 
Govt may fix Coal India IPO price on Oct 12

Our Bureau

New Delhi, Sept. 24 The Government expects to finalise the pricing of Coal India's initial public offer (IPO) on October 12, said the Chairman, Mr P. S. Bhattacharyya, on Friday. Coal India, which recently received SEBI approval, proposes to enter the market on October 18. The Government is divesting 10 per cent stake in the company through the IPO.

The coal PSU, unlike its counterparts in the steel sector, may not seek relief from the Government proposal on profit sharing with people displaced by projects. "We are not seeking any concession in profit sharing," Mr Bhattacharyya told reporters on the sidelines of the 3 rd Coal Summit. Stating that Coal India supported the proposed policy for distributive justice, he said: "It is important to sustain mining operations that are happening in the backward regions."

As part of the new mining legislation, the Government proposes to make it mandatory for mining firms to share 26 per cent of their annual profits with affected people.

The Steel Minister, Mr Virbhadra Singh, had recently said that some consideration should be given for PSUs such as SAIL and NMDC for their historical role in meeting the social obligations.

Speaking to reporters on sidelines, the Coal Minister, Mr Sriprakash Jaiswal, said there was no proposal before the Group of Ministers on giving concessions to PSUs on profit sharing.

Commenting on the confrontation between environment protection and economic development, the Finance Minister, Mr Pranab Mukherjee, said: "We must work out a strategy so that both ends are met". The solution does not lie in stopping mining but properly compensating the affected people. "Compensating those displaced is a challenge and we are addressing that issue," Mr Mukherjee said inaugurating the Coal Summit.

Mr Mukherjee suggested that the country should take advantage of the technological developments, especially in the information technology sector, to resolve the apparent contradictions.

Coal India shares to begin trade around Nov 4
 
Shares in state-run , which plans to raise up to $3 billion in what would be the country's largest initial public offering, will begin trading on or around Nov. 4, according to a term sheet. 

The company is selling roughly 631.6 million shares and will set a price range on or around Oct. 13 before opening order books on Oct. 18 and setting the final issue price on or around Oct. 23, according to the term sheet.
 


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[T.S.R:15801] sugar sector update


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[T.S.R:15801] mangalam cement


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[T.S.R:15801] shipping sector report


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[T.S.R:15801] sterlite industries


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[T.S.R:15800] Business standard update - 30-9-2010


FDI IN MULTI-BRAND RETAIL WON'T GET NOD FROM FINMIN


SURAJEET DAS GUPTA & SAUBHADRA CHATTERJI New Delhi, 29 September

The finance ministry is arriving at a consensus to reject a proposal mooted in government to permit foreign direct investment (FDI) in multi-brand retailing.

A top source in the ministry told Business Standard :"We believe that the time has still not come to allow FDI in multi-brand retailing. While the preparatory process can go on, the implementation of a change in policy should not take place now." The source also made it clear that it is unlikely that any announcement of a liberalisation of FDI rules would be made during the visit of US president Barack Obama, who will be in India in November.

The finance ministry's decision will come as a major dampener to several international retail chains like Walmart, Carrefour and Tesco that have lobbied hard to get the government to open the doors to FDI in multi-brand retailing.

The department of industrial policy & promotion (DIPP), which is part of the ministry of commerce, has been pushing for the easing of FDI norms in retail. It had come out with adiscussion paper on the contentious issue just a few months ago and had solicited the opinions of all stakeholders.

The DIPP favours permitting FDI in multi-brand retailing, but with some key restrictions. In its discussion paper, it suggested various options like permitting such retail chains only in cities with a population of over 10 lakh, fixing a minimum amount that they have to source from small-scale enterprises, and specifying minimum sales to small retailers through awholesale window.

It had also suggested that such chains should hire 50 per cent of their employees from rural areas and at least 50 per cent of the money invested should be used to create backend infrastructure such as cold chains and processing units.

The finance ministry has already set up an internal panel, which is studying the issue of FDI in multi-brand retailing.

From 2006, the government has permitted FDI up to 51 per cent in single-brand retailing. It has also allowed 100 per cent FDI under the automatic route in the cash & carry wholesale business. Under this regime, the government has already cleared investments worth over

`8,900 crore in this sector, which constitutes only 2.75 per cent of the total FDI flows into the country from 2000 to May 2010.

Those opposing further liberalisation have contended that such a move would kill the country's kirana shops, as well as give foreign retailers an unfair advantage, as the domestic retailers are still in a nascent stage of development and need protection.

DIPP favours a conditional easing of regime; North Block says preparatory work can go on

C&C curbs eased

The government today eased FDI norms for sectors such as wholesale cashand-carry trading. While a restriction on internal use has been removed, the 25 per cent of turnover ceiling on sales to group companies has been retained. The decision will have implications for several retailers such as Bharti Walmart, Carrefour and Metro Cash and Carry. Bharti Retail, for instance, can now sell goods sourced from Bharti Walmart at its stores. ?6

 

GOVT EASES FDI NORMS FOR WHOLESALE TRADING, NBFCs


BS REPORTER New Delhi, 29 September

The government today eased the foreign direct investment norms for sectors like wholesale cash-andcarry trading, non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) and certain segments of animal husbandry, besides bringing about procedural simplifications.

There was, however, bad news for foreign tobacco product manufacturers and the real estate sector. The Consolidated Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Policy, which would be effective from October 1, has been formally included in the list of activities in which FDI is prohibited. The move follows controversy around Japan Tobacco's entry into the Indian market.

In case of the real estate sector, the government has ruled out any relaxation in the threeyear lock-in criteria for now. Instead, for construction development projects, the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (Dipp) has clarified that the lock-in period of three years will be applied from the date of receipt of each tranche of FDI or from the date of completion of minimum capitalisation, whichever is later.

At present, 100 per cent FDI is permitted under the automatic route in townships, housing projects, built-up infrastructure and construction development projects. It is, however, subject to aminimum capitalisation requirement of $10 million (around

`45 crore) for wholly-owned subsidiaries and $5 million (around `22.5 crore) for joint ventures with Indian partners.

While the original money invested cannot be repatriated before a period of three years from the completion of minimum capitalisation, investors can exit earlier with prior approval of the government through the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB).

"This is going to be extremely negative for the real estate sector and will affect investment into the sector. The government has also failed to clarify on issues in many other significant areas. However, this exercise of reviewing the (FDI) policy every six months should continue, as that will make the policy more flexible in due course," said PricewaterhouseCoopers Executive Director Akash Gupt.

In case of non-banking finance companies, however, the government decided to ease the norms for downstream investment. It has said NBFCs with 100 per cent foreign investment and a minimum capitalisation of $50 million (around `225 crore), can set up subsidiaries for specific NBFC activities, without bringing additional capital towards minimum capitalisation.

For foreign players with interest in the wholesale cash-andcarry segment, there was some good news as the government decided to remove the restriction on internal use. It, however, retained the ceiling, mandating that such companies could at best sell up to 25 per cent of their turnover to group companies.

The move would have implications on several retailers like Bharti-Walmart, Carrefour and Metro Cash and Carry, which had been lobbying for removal of the two restrictions. They can, however, draw comfort from the fact that Bharti Retail, for instance, can sell goods sourced from Bharti-Walmart at its stores.

On procedural aspects, the government has said downstream investments through internal accruals are permissible. "This clarity was necessary as the FDI policy says that for the purpose of downstream investment, the operating-cum-investing/investing companies would have to bring in requisite funds from abroad and not leverage funds from the domestic market for such investments. While this would not preclude companies from making downstream investments through 'internal accruals', it had been noticed that, in certain cases, some companies had started accessing the government approval route for downstream investments through internal accruals," an official statement said.

It also said the definition of capital would include FDI in partly-paid shares and warrants, provided prior government approval is sought. At present, capital is defined as "equity shares, fully, compulsarily and mandatorily convertible preference shares, fully compulsarily and mandatorily convertible debentures".

Also, share-swap arrangements have been brought under the ambit of the FDI Policy for the first time. The statement said this had been included as there were a large number of proposals from companies. It has been mandated that the valuation of the shares would have to be made by a banker and would be subject to FIPB approval.

Wholesale trading made to internal use only

NBFCs can set up subsidiaries

Downstream investments through internal accruals allowed

Manufactures of cigarettes

Norms on share swap, partly-paid warrants, tobacco ban included

NBFCsWITH 100% FOREIGN INVESTMENT

and a minimum capitalisation of $50 million can set up subsidiaries for specific NBFC activities, without bringing additional capital towards minimum capitalisation

 

FDI norms for non-cash shares to be changed


BS REPORTER New Delhi, 29 September

In an effort to check largescale money laundering and violation of existing norms, the government is planning to change the foreign direct investment (FDI) norms relating to domestic companies issuing shares to foreign companies for consideration other than cash.

In a discussion paper released by the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (Dipp), the government has sought opinion on whether there is a possibility of issue of shares for noncash considerations being misused, especially in the context of money laundering.

"The FIPB Review, 2009, observed that issues of shares, for other than cash considerations, require a much deeper look and, with the increasing numbers of such cases, some objective norms would have to be evolved soon. The review further observed that, though the board has been, by and large, liberal in facilitating the industry, this route for FDI cannot be allowed to become a norm, since the purpose of FDI gets defeated through this mode," Dipp said in the paper.

The proposed guidelines will also cover share swaps, which take place in mergers and acquisitions. An increasing number of Indian companies are expanding their operations in overseas markets.

The department has also said that many companies are spreading their operations to overseas markets, however, in doing so the companies are required to comply with overseas direct investment regulations. Thus such companies often resort to share-swap transactions. Thus, Dipp has suggested that share swaps could continue to be permitted through the government route, subject to certain conditions.

The discussion paper also deals with issues of shares against intangible assets. It said, since there were no particular criteria for evaluating the intangibles, such instances led to excess shares.

"Since such cases may pose significant challenges in terms of valuation, and would require evolution of detailed guidelines, the balance of convenience may lie in not considering such cases at present," it said.

Under the present policy, shares can be issued to a nonresident against receipt of funds through normal banking channels. However, Indian companies, at times, are given permission for conversion of external commercial borrowings (ECBs) into shares and preference shares subject to FDI and Sebi regulations.

THE GOVT HAS SOUGHT OPINION

on whether there is a possibility of issue of shares for non-cash considerations being misused, especially in the context of money laundering


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[T.S.R:15794] DCM & Universal Cables-Speculative Buy



FYI


 
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[T.S.R:15793] Reliance Industries-The Banyan Tree


India's richest man may be gearing up to expand the world's largest refining complex in Jamnagar, Gujarat. The Mint newspaper reported Monday that Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) plans to invest more than $8.8 billion by 2014 to set up a cracker unit for producing various petrochemicals.
 
With core assets in oil and gas, RIL is India's largest private-sector company, encompassing a web of 96 subsidiaries operating in industries as diverse as retail, property, telecoms and financial services.
 
News of the planned investment pushed shares of RIL 0.9% higher to finish the day at 1,010.2 rupees ($22.44).
 

India's soaring stock market has been attracting the interest of institutional investors from overseas. The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index (Sensex) has soared over 25% since hitting a low in late May. Overseas funds have invested $17.7 billion in Indian equities so far this year, according to the country's market regulator.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 



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[T.S.R:15792] EOD30 SEP 2010 UPLOADED - ROCKING NIFTY CALLS 190 PTS MADE FOR AUG SERIES

EOD DATA UPLOADED AT : http://tapricos.blogspot.com/
 
VISIT www.taprico.blogspot.com ---- for live discussion and free calls with 200 plus members ---- its free too


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[T.S.R:15791] Emami-BUY



Healthy revenues; strong profits. Emami reported a strong 1QFY11, with revenue and PAT growing 28% and 127% respectively. We expect Emami to register earnings CAGR of 28% over FY10-12 on the back of key brands' decent performance and new launches being well accepted. Retain Buy.
 

n       Strong revenue growth. Emami registered overall revenue growth of 28% yoy in 1QFY11, driven by strong volume growth of 25%. Emami has witnessed revenue growth of >20% for the eighth consecutive quarter. All major brands and new launches are doing well. Strong investments in key brands and sub-segmentation strategy are driving the outperformance.

n       All brands in good form. All key brands, such as Navratna oil and Zandu balm, have seen >20% growth. Fair & Handsome saw 8% growth mainly owing to lower volume growth due to price hike. Recently launched Navratna Cool Talc saw whopping volume growth of >125% due to a harsh summer. Strong performance by new products augurs well for future growth.

n       Higher raw material prices push down margin. With rising menthol prices, EBITDA margin was down 66bps. However, the company expects maintaining margins going forward, given lower crude oil prices and lowering inflation. On account of tax credit of goodwill amortization, net profit is up 127%.

n       Valuation. We retain Buy on Emami with target price of Rs502 at target PE of 25x on FY12e earnings.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 



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[T.S.R:15790] Dabur-FMCG Wildcard



1QFY11 - Strong revenues; higher taxes. Dabur witnessed a healthy performance in 1QFY11, with revenue & PAT growths of 23.4% yoy and 17% yoy respectively. Despite the robust performance, we retain Hold on Dabur owing to higher valuations.
 

n       Healthy volume growth. Dabur reported revenue growth of 23.4% yoy and volume growth of 16.8% yoy. The company took select price hikes in key SKUs. The increase in brand-building activities and re-launch of various SKUs has led to Dabur witnessing the highest volume growth in the past 13 quarters.

n       Smooth sailing in all segments. All the segments are doing well, with hair oils growing 16.5%, shampoos up 17%, oral care up 20.2% and skin care up 12.4%, yoy. Health supplements and home care have reported strong 42.8% and 31.5% growth yoy respectively. Juices grew 21% yoy. Consumer health division and international business grew 10% and 29% yoy respectively.

n       EBITDA margin down 100bps. Given higher other expenditure, EBITDA margin was down 100bps yoy. The company has maintained ad spend-to-sales at 16.5% yoy. With higher effective income tax rate post increase in MAT rate, net profit is up 17% yoy, despite strong operational performance.

 
 


Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 



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[T.S.R:15789] GCPL-Buy The New Defensives



Good performance; maintain Buy. GCPL witnessed a strong 1QFY11, with net profit growing 24% yoy. Increase in market share of key segments in India and consolidation of acquired subsidiaries are expected to drive growth in the next few quarters. We retain our Buy rating with target price of Rs405/share.
 

n       Acquisitions driving growth. With consolidation of various subsidiaries, revenues have grown 49% yoy. The domestic business has, however, registered a 7% drop in revenues. With the acquisitions, the international business now accounts for 29% of sales.

n       Market share gain in key segments. GCPL has gained market share in key segments in India - up 60bps yoy and 160bps yoy in soaps and household insecticides respectively. However, it lost market share of 40bps in hair colors.  

n       Lower EBITDA margin. With higher palm oil prices, EBITDA margin is down 120bps. We, however, expect the margin to move up with rising share of international business, which enjoys higher margins. With higher MAT rates, net profit is up only 24%.

n       Valuation. We retain our Buy rating on GCPL, at target price of Rs405/share based on target PE of 25x on FY12e earnings. Our target PE is at 65% premium to 12-month forward Nifty PE. We expect the premium to expand, given higher market share and acquisition synergies.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 



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[T.S.R:15788] GSK Consumer Health-BUY



Reiterate Buy. GSK-CH witnessed an impressive 2QCY10; revenue and PAT grew 14.6% and 30% yoy respectively. We reiterate our Buy rating on the stock on the back of earnings CAGR of 27% over CY09-11e.
 

n       Steady revenue growth. GSK-CH registered revenue growth of 14.6%. The company hiked prices of all brands by 5% in January '10. The carry-over impact of price hike and the strong volume growth aidied in strong 2QCY10 revenues.

n       Lower ad spend improves margin. EBITDA margin was up72bps yoy. Lower ad spend-to-sales helped expand margin. However, the ad spend has sustained at Rs749m yoy. With higher milk prices, raw material-to-sales expanded 100bps yoy. Net profit is up 30% yoy, given lower effective tax rate.  

n       Outlook. With reducing food inflation and lower crude oil prices, we expect raw material price concerns to ease in the coming quarters. Rising revenues of new products will help reduce the ad spend-to-sales. With all new launches witnessing favorable response, we expect the company to post strong revenue and earnings growths going forward.

n       Valuation. We retain Buy on GSKCH at target PE of 24x on CY11e earnings. Our target PE is at 50% premium to 12-month forward Nifty PE. We expect the premium to expand, with success of new launches. As this will also help remove the 'single product company' tag from GSK-CH.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 



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[T.S.R:15787] Texmaco Restructures



The immediate trigger for Texmaco is the proposed de-merger of present Texmaco in to - Texmaco Rail and Engg Co. (which will include all mfg operations like -Heavy engg, Infra and steel foundry divisions.), while post de-merged existing Texmaco will be holding investments & real estate.

 

The share holders will get shares in the ratio of 1:1 for new co. The de-merger is now awaiting HC approval, which may take 3-6 months.

  

Now as per the latest update the High Court at Calcutta , sanctioned a scheme of arrangement for restructuring Texmaco. In a release, the company said the High Court has approved the scheme early this month.

 

The scheme entailed demerging of Texmaco's heavy engineering and steel foundry divisions to its wholly owned subsidiary company, Texmaco Rail & Engineering Ltd (Texrail), formerly Texmaco Machines Ltd, and retaining the other businesses such as real estate, mini hydel power plant in the company.

 

As a result of the court's approval, the scheme will become operational with retrospective effect from April 1 this year once the certified copy of the order is filed with the Registrar of Companies. The boards of Texmaco and Texrail, meanwhile, were reconstituted last week. The formalities for the listing of Texrail on the BSE, NSE and CSE would be taken up thereafter, the release said.

 

Texmaco shareholders are to get shares of Texrail in the ratio of 1:1 on the basis of their shareholding as on a record date to be announced after the scheme comes into effect.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 


--- On Thu, 9/30/10, rajes G <rajes555@yahoo.com> wrote:

From: rajes G <rajes555@yahoo.com>
Subject: Fw: Re: [T.S.R:15750] Supreme Industries
To: rajivhanda@yahoo.com
Date: Thursday, September 30, 2010, 10:08 AM



--- On Thu, 30/9/10, rajes G <rajes555@yahoo.com> wrote:

From: rajes G <rajes555@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: [T.S.R:15750] Supreme Industries
To: rhapositive@gmail.com
Date: Thursday, 30 September, 2010, 10:04 AM

Dear Rajiv Handa,
 
I am a regular reader of your mails since last 6 months, and your mains  are very informative. Your analysis of Stocks are one of the best and i can tell the same because i have gained some money in stock market thru your buy tips. One of the company that i would like to mention is POLYPLEX  and have gained a lot and I still hold 80 shares of POLYPLEX and today i purchased 30 shares of Supreme Inds.
 
Thanks a lot for making me rich and wish you all the best, I also request you to add me in your mailing list and my office email is rajeshgohel@indianoil.co.in.
 
At times, by the time i read your mails, the prices of the stocks recommended by you jumps high.
 
Thanks again
 
Rajesh.

--- On Wed, 29/9/10, Rajiv Handa <rhapositive@gmail.com> wrote:

From: Rajiv Handa <>
Subject: [T.S.R:15750] Supreme Industries
To: "kukku picks" <kukkuster@gmail.com>
Date: Wednesday, 29 September, 2010, 1:41 PM



Supreme Ind

CMP 690/-

 

·        Company is one of the largest plastic processor in India , processing about 1,92,000 MTs of polymers annually. It has comprehensive plastic product portfolio including - Plastic/PVC piping & Fittings [43.59%], Packaging Products [24.11%], Industrial Products [20.48%] and Consumer Products [11.83%].

·         With moderation in the input prices and better the consumption of all kind of Pipes, fittings, Crates, micro irrigation and irrigation products will go up. Further as rural purchasing power will go up, demand for Plastic furniture and other household item will go up.

·         Newer and newer usages are found for various products by strong R&D of the company, which is continuously developing and innovating products used across segments like - Pipes for potable water/ drainage/ sewerage/ irrigation, Protective packaging, Material handling, molded furniture, Auto & Appliances components, Industrial products, Packaging films and designer products etc.

·         Company is spending Rs 275 Crs in capex in current year to expand capacities across product range as well as setting up facilities to manufacture LPG Composite Cylinders, which are light weight and explosion proof. Project will go on stream in Oct.'11.

·         Apart from strong cash flows from core business, the big cash flow & profits are expected from recently completed commercial property in Mumbai; which may lead to exceptionally great cash flows for company in current year.

·         Even without property gains, company can report EPS of Rs 90 and with these gains [if property is sold out in current FY] additional cash flows could be over Rs 300 Crs. Even excluding property gains, stock is available at attractive P/E of just 7.5X for FY'11.


Looking to almost zero debt status, high ROACE [40%], ROANW [43%], liberal payouts and attractive growth trajectory, the stock should get discounting of at least 12X for FY'11 Est. earnings.  So we expect a target price of Rs 1080 cum split and Rs 216/- post split. [As company has announced a Split from Rs 10/- to Rs 2/- FV and record date is due in mid Oct.'10.] BUY

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 



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[T.S.R:15786] Bilcare Launches Copy-Proof ID Cards (The Hindu)


Copy-proof non-cloneable ID cards from Bilcare
 
As security takes top priority before the Commonwealth Games, over 80,000 members of the Delhi Police will hold non-cloneable identity cards.
 
Equipped with nonClonableID fingerprints, the ID cards are secure, as the technology cannot be copied, or reproduced by even the company that has supplied the technology, says Dr Praful Naik, Executive Director with Bilcare, the Pune-based company that has developed the technology.
 
Listing out a host of government agencies that have evinced interest or have adopted the technology, Dr Naik told Business Line that Bilcare had made technical presentations to the RBI (looking to tackle the fake currency problem), besides approaching the Armed Forces that are looking for non-cloneable IDs. The company is also working with agro-chemical, pharmaceutical and liquor companies in India and abroad.
 
The technology involves randomly embossing micro and nano particles, made difficult to copy by the different shapes and sizes of the particles, and by increasing the randomisation, Dr Naik explained. At the client-end, the genuineness of a product carrying this technology can be authenticated using a reader — a device no larger than a mobile phone.
 
The signature ID is read, and sent, encrypted, to a database to confirm the genuineness of the product, he said. The reader-device in the Delhi Police project costs about Rs 12,000, he said, but that price is expected to come down as volumes increase, he added.
 
If there are 100 different packs of the product, they will all have different fingerprints, and the identification, tracking and authentication happens in real-time, he reiterated.Since cost often restrains companies from adopting new technologies, Dr Naik clarified, that to carry the non-cloneable fingerprint on a medicine strip of 10 tablets will cost an additional Rs 1.50, or 15 paise a tablet. In fact, the ID project of the Delhi Police, costs only about Rs 1.5 crore, he said, but it is a significant project.
 
The Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) had asked Bilcare to evaluate its non-cloneable technology, after the terror attacks in Mumbai- when multiple ID cards were found, he said. Even the Delhi Police project was not merely with the Commonwealth Games in mind, but to plug the potential of security breaches, he added.
 
While the Delhi Police project would help inspire confidence for other States to follow, he said Bilcare is exploring other local and overseas opportunities, including ration and BPL (below poverty line) and land registration cards, for instance, to weed out the fakes.

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.
 
Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
 
 
 

 
 


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[T.S.R:15783] Recreation Topic

http://123maza.com/35/songs289/

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[T.S.R:15783] Recreation Topic

http://123maza.com/35/songs289/

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