[T.S.R:12055] TSR NIFTY UPDATES- Week beginning 04.01.10 -Visit www.Niftyviews.com

TSR NIFTY UPDATES- Week beginning 04.01.10 -Visit www.Niftyviews.com

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Dear Friends,
Season's greeting & a Happy New Year.

If my lesson at the advent of 2009 was to remember Murphy's law which states that whatever will go wrong will go wrong at the worst possible time and in the worst possible way. In the advent of 2010 my lesson is to always remember one of the Newton's law of motion: - "Every action has an equal and opposite reaction." If 2008 was all about making money in short trade, 2009 was all about making money in Long trades. Almost an year back at the advent of the new year I had projected the Tea sector as one of the most under owned and under researched sector in Indian economy.( refer weekly updates of last fortnight of 2008 on the blog). Being a student of economics I refer to the price of commodity as an outcome of demand and supply. I had precisely pointed out the deterioration of the Tea Industry due to sustained loss making operations and almost no new investments. Most of the Tea stocks have been five bagger in last one year. Even one of TSR recommended stock Gillander arbuthnot proved to be a three bagger over a period of one year. It is surprising to note that even after the upmove no other brokerage or research oriented house has tracked the company.


If 2009 was all about the black tea 2010 can be all about the white diamond (Sugar). I would be carrying out further research on the sector with select undervalued stocks in next two issues. The sectoral research analysis would be made available to all Niftyviews readers. The stock reports would be published and made available to clients. To receive the same enrol for weekly calls before 11th of January 10. Traders should note that there is a distinct valuation discount in some small cap sugar stocks. Some of these companies have huge carry forward value in there sugar inventory. I have one advise for people who consume sugar. Reduce your consumption. India would need to import almost 15% of its sugar consumption for last three months of this season. (Sugar cycle in India is from November- September) At the same time the deficit in sugar would continue forward till 2012. (A 30 months exponential bull awaits you).


I have already spoken about the White Diamond for next one year. My outlook for Nifty is that large cap part of the market is adequately valued and using one of Newton's laws it can be summarized as "An object in motion will stay in motion and an object at rest will stay at rest unless acted upon by an external force". If you are a bear then wait for the occurrence of the event that halts the up move. As I had mentioned before I would now periodically update the Niftyviews domain with nifty charts, stock updates, recent buzz and also some important event analysis. Login sooner then a week. Event wise keep a watch on commonwealth games. Also keep a tab on government spending as the JNURMS spending has platued and companies like Tata Motors will see an impact with deterioration of revenue.

GOLDEN ADVISE: WHATEVER YOU EARN KEEP A PART FOR YOURSELF.{Whoever wants to know the meaning can email at contact@niftyviews.com}

NIFTY SUPPORT:- 5160,5023
Nifty resistance :-5245,5297 ( 5245 is an important retracement level)

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HAVE A GREAT TRADING DAY


VINAYAK

TEAM STOCKRESEARCHERS


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