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Wednesday, September 30, 2009

[T.S.R:11166] market watch


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[T.S.R:11165] navratna stocks from me ...

In the nine picks of Navratra I am trying to give the fundamentally strong counters. The trigger that will see the stocks flying are enumerated.

1. PROVOGUE(CMP-Rs68)
Company is planning to enter west Asian market.
17 new stores are to be opened in FY2010.
Company is in talks with FMCG companies to form a joint venture to distribute its body care products across the country.
Retailer to foray into residential development sector.
20-40% of the land from Prozone (wholly owned subsidiary) will be converted and used for housing development.
RJ holds stake in this company.

2. KS OIL(CMP-Rs70)
FII buying heavily into the counter. Goldman Sach acquired 1.1% stake in KS Oil.
Company to raise Rs 450 crore for overseas investments.
Company is acquiring agri asset in South East Asia.
Total Income is growing at CAGR of 65% and Net Income at CAGR of 23% for last four years.
Growing price of agri product will help increase in margin.

3. TATA CHEMICAL:(CMP-Rs 275)
Company to capitalize on rebound in soda ash markets.
Urea and vaccum salt capacity expansion will be next growth drivers.
Availability of RIL`s KG D6 gas reduces the feedstock cost.
Subsidy payments are likely to be paid in cash.
Strong cash flow of Rs 1270 crore is expected which will be utilized to de leverage the balance sheet.


4. Astral Polytechnik:(CMP-Rs128)
Company is first licensee of Noveon, USA to manufacture and market CPVC piping and plumbing system in India.
Crude oil is the major raw material and the sharp fall in the price of crude oil has helped the company increasing the margin.
Recent capacity expansion to add to the top line and bottom line which is expected to be seen in FY10 results.
Govt thrust on agriculture and irrigation will benefit the company.
Company has strong distribution of 200 distributors and 3000 retailers in India.


5. Anant Raj Industries:(CMP-Rs 144)
Company is zero debt company.
It has land bank of 1000 acres in NCR.
Company is sitting on surplus cash of Rs 750 crore.
Planning to raise fund via QIP to fund expansion and utilize opportunity of bottomed real estate market by acquiring land at lower cost.
Plan to invest Rs 450 in land bank.

6. Solar Industries:(CMP-Rs 361)
SIL has three year contract with Coal India for the supply of explosives. The contract is with price variation clause which is beneficial for SIL.
SIL will cater to 18% of the requirement of explosives of Cola India.
The valuation of coal mines comes at around Rs250 crore.
Shortage of coal in India will see increase in the valuation of coal mine asset of the company.
Setting up bulk explosive plant in Nigeria.


7. Ion Exchange:(CMP-Rs 127)
Water crisis looming large company like Ion exchange to benefit.
Leading investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala have bought 5% share in the company.
Its water purifier Zerob is a household name.
Company provides total water management.
Company has expertise of 4 decade in water treatment.

8. Uttam Galva:(CMP-Rs 124)
Company is now co owned by Lakshmi Mittal.
Going to invest Rs 400 crore to enhance capacity.
Also exploring ways for setting second captive power plant.
It is mulling to up the capacity from 600000 tons of steel to 800000 tons of steel.
The 50% of the output will be exported to 40 countries.

9. Texmaco:(CMP-Rs 135)
Company is leader in wagon segment with 25% market share.
Increased expenditure by railway to benefit the company.
It has order back log of 5500 wagons.
Rising demand of commodity has also increased demand for wagon which is currently in short supply.
There is very high entry barrier, so the company margin expected to be intact.

 


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[T.S.R:11157] day trader



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"Unless you try to do something beyond what you have already mastered,


you will never grow".
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[T.S.R:11156] Shares at five year high.

Oct. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Indian companies tapped investors for the most funds since at least 2004 in the third quarter as they take advantage of the biggest stock market rally since 1991.

 

Companies including NHPC Ltd. and Oil India Ltd. raised 338 billion rupees ($7 billion) in the three months ended Sept. 30, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Axis Bank Ltd. and Indiabulls Financial Services Ltd. led 162 billion rupees in sales to institutions, the highest ever.

 

"There is a lot of demand to fund the growth capital that India needs," said Aisha De Sequeira, managing director at Morgan Stanley's investment banking unit in Mumbai. "It's the emerging markets which are seeing the growth and as long as companies can show returns on the capital that is being raised, there will be demand."

 

Indian companies are taking advantage of a surge in liquidity to recapitalize and fund capital expenditure after being starved of cash last year. Their expansion plans may help revive economic growth from its slowest pace in six years.

 

The Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitive Index has more than doubled in value from its low this year on March 9. Overseas funds have bought 575 billion rupees worth of the nation's stocks this year, more than reversing the record net sales of 530 billion rupees for the whole of 2008.

 

Kotak Mahindra was the top ranked arranger last quarter after advising on initial share sales of NHPC and Adani Power Ltd., while Enam Financial Consultants Pvt. came in second, Bloomberg data shows. Morgan Stanley was No. 3 after managing sales of Oil India and Indiabulls Financial Services.

 

NHPC, Oil India

 

NHPC, India's biggest hydroelectric power producer, raised 60.4 billion rupees in an initial offer in August, making it the first among state-run companies to list this year as the government aims to raise money from asset sales. Oil India, the second-biggest state-run energy explorer, raised 27.8 billion rupees in an initial sale in September.

 

"There is a hunger from investors for quality paper from companies who are looking to de-leverage or for growth capital," S. Ramesh, chief operating officer at Kotak Mahindra Capital Co., said in a phone interview in Mumbai. "The pipeline is getting stronger and we will see more fund raising by companies in real estate, infrastructure, power and banking."

 

Reliance Infratel Ltd., the tower unit of India's second- largest mobile-phone company, Godrej Properties Ltd., controlled by Indian billionaire Adi Godrej, and Indiabulls Power Ltd. are among companies planning initial share sales.

 

Public Works

 

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, who won a second consecutive five-year term in May, has said the government will spend more on public works to boost the $1.2 trillion economy, which the central bank forecasts will expand at the slowest pace since 2003. The government estimates infrastructure spending at $500 billion in five years to 2012.

 

Share sales by the government in state-run companies may increase by 150 billion rupees in the fiscal year ending March as a revival in the nation's economic growth lures investors, S. Ramesh at Kotak said. India should aim to raise as much as 250 billion rupees a year from asset sales, the finance ministry said in a report on July 2.

 

Companies raised 228 billion rupees in 2008, the lowest amount in at least five years, according to Bloomberg data.

 

"Markets were starved of funds for over 18 months," S. Subramanian, head of investment banking at Enam Financial Consultants Pvt., said in a phone interview in Mumbai. "Now that an opportunity has presented itself, companies are taking advantage of it."

 

To contact the reporter on this story: Pooja Thakur in Mumbai at pthakur@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: September 30, 2009 22:01 EDT



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Thanks & Regards,
Abhishek Kothari

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[T.S.R:11149] EOD DAT FILE UPLOADED

EOD DATA UPLOADED AT : http://tapricos.blogspot.com/
 
VISIT www.taprico.blogspot.com ---- for live discussion and free calls with 200 plus members ---- its free too
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[T.S.R:11148] Microsec Capital - PSU Picks

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[T.S.R:11164] India Road Construction: Policy changes in favour of private developers

 
India Road Construction: Policy changes in favour of private developers
 
Key Beneficiaries: C&C, Valecha Engineering, Unity Infra, IRB Developers, Sadhbhav Engineering, HCC, IVRCL, NJCC, Madhucon and L&T
 

The regulatory framework is being tweaked to improve the risk-return
perception. The key policy changes in recent times or potential amendments
affecting highways and roads are discussed below. We expect some delays,
and re-runs of RfQ rounds of several of the projects in the pipeline because of
the changes.
 
Pre-qualification criteria
 
Recently, projects that have not attracted bids (38 of 60) were modified to reflect more
realistic costs, thus, attracting bidders in the next round of bidding. The cap on the
number of financial bids (six) has been removed. Instead, now the bidders should have
experience (Threshold Technical Capacity or TTC) of executing projects worth 200%
of the project bid on. The industry is demanding a reduction of the threshold to 100%.
 
However, NHAI will have the flexibility to reduce the TTC by 50% of the Total Project
Cost (TPC), that is: provide for TTC to be one-and-a-half times of TPC. This is
expected to increase the competition for smaller roads. However, very few players
would be able to pre-qualify for the larger road packages without partnering with large
foreign developers/construction companies.
 
Modification of minimum equity holding criterion on cards
 
In response to the industry demands, the government is now considering modifying the
minimum equity provision to promote investments in the sector. Relaxation of this
clause should also lead to matching risks and investor profile. For example, the
construction companies should be allowed to exit once the construction is done or the
construction risk is eliminated. The present agreement requires the developers to hold
at least a majority stake (51%) in the project for the first three years and 26%
thereafter.
 
Changes to tolling policy will increase toll rates
 
In order to attract developers to take traffic risks, the government has modified the
tolling policy to include a 3% (without compounding) fixed escalation plus 40% of
change in Wholesale Price Index (WPI). This change results in higher toll-rates to
developers. For structures (bridges, bypass or tunnels), the toll fee will be linked to the
capital cost instead of length implying a greater linkage between the cost of
construction and toll tariff. A provision exists for charging an overloading fee, if a
weighbridge is installed at a toll plaza. Given the rampant practice of overloading on
Indian roads, the implementation of this rule is circumspect.
 
Timing of viability gap funding
 
Those projects that had received a viability gap funding were facing the problem of
timing of cash flows as half of the viability gap funding was paid during construction
and the other half during the first five years of commencement date. The government,
in turn, has decided to meet the funding gap upfront, which has made such projects
more attractive.
 
Land acquisition
 
Land acquisition has been a major impediment for road project execution. The
government had proposed transferring 50% of land at the time of the award and the
remaining during construction. To facilitate execution further, it has now planned to
hand over 80% of land at the time of the award and the remaining during construction.
Separately, there were projects that were not awarded commencement certificates due
to the inability of the government to acquire 5-10% of land.
 
The private developer and lenders were not allowed to collect toll until the commencement certificate was awarded. Now, the private developers will be allowed to collect toll if they deposit 80% of the estimated cost of construction on the undeveloped stretch of road.
 
Termination clause
 
By introducing a termination clause, the NHAI essentially stripped the concessionaire
off of upside for taking traffic risks. According to the clause, the NHAI could end the
concession period if the traffic increases beyond the designed capacity of the road for
more than three years. However, the industry is lobbying strongly against this
provision and we expect relief in the near future.
 
Conflict of interest clause
 
Under the present scenario, two different bidders cannot directly/indirectly hold more
than 5% in the other. This threshold was raised from 1%. Furthermore, it excludes
banks, insurance companies, pension funds and public financial institutions from this
clause. Though this hike is expected to bring in more investments in the sector, it might
not be sufficient as a PE fund typically holds more than 5% stake in companies,
thereby still invoking this clause. It is likely that the limit will be raised to 25% as
appealed by the investor class.
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[T.S.R:11163] indian capital goods


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[T.S.R:11162] golden stock- PANTALOON RETAIL

BUY PANTALOON RETAIL SHORT TERM TAR 405 N ULTIMATE TAR 700 SL 300.DONT MISS
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Tuesday, September 29, 2009

[T.S.R:11161] jindals consolidate holdings in recast

Jindals consolidate holdings in recast
 
Four new holding firms will replace current web of companies; move will help group in raising funds, succession issues
Baiju Kalesh
Mumbai: The four Jindal brothers—Prithviraj, Sajjan, Naveen and Ratan—who control the $12 billion (Rs57,600 crore) industrial group they inherited from their father O.P. Jindal in 2005, are in the process of whittling down the number of holding and investment firms through which they control the group's operating companies. This restructuring could allow them to raise more money from banks, fund new businesses and also create fewer succession tensions later.
 
A web of 30 investment firms will be untangled to create four new holding companies, said a top official of Sajjan Jindal's JSW Steel Ltd.
"All the promoters' holding in various companies will be consolidated into four companies," said M.V.S. Seshagiri Rao, joint managing director of JSW Steel and chief executive of the Sajjan Jindal group.
A holding company does not usually produce any goods and services itself, but owns shares in companies that do. Indian promoter groups have traditionally controlled operating companies through such investment firms.
The four holding companies that will be created after the restructuring will continue to have cross holdings by the brothers to abide by the will written by O.P. Jindal 20 days before he died in a helicopter crash in Haryana in 2005.
The promoters' stake in each new holding company will be split five equal ways among the brothers and their mother Savitri Devi, the chairperson of the O.P. Jindal group. Each brother will control one holding company and will eventually inherit Savitri Devi's stake, making him the largest individual shareholder in that particular holding company with 40% ownership.
"We will raise debt in the holding companies and use it as promoters' equity to fund our new cement plants and expand steel capacity," said Rao, who has been with JSW for more than a decade.
According to Rao, JSW promoter Sajjan Jindal needs to invest Rs450 crore to build a 2.5 million tonne (mt) cement plant in Andhra Pradesh and a similar one in Vijayanagar, near the group's 8 mt steel plant, and Rs1,200 crore for a million tonne alumina plant in Andhra Pradesh.
"We will repay these loans from the dividend inflows (from the operating companies)," he said. The promoters received Rs117 crore as dividend from JSW Steel after the company reported a Rs458.5 crore net profit for the fiscal year ended March. Lenders led by IDBI Bank Ltd have already sanctioned Rs1,500 crore for the cement plants, while a consortium of banks led by ICICI Bank Ltd, India's largest private sector bank, has agreed to lend Rs3,000 crore for the alumina plant.
Sajjan's younger brother Naveen Jindal's plans are much bigger: $22.6 billion to build 30.5 mt steel plants and generate 9,200MW power across the country.
JSW Energy Ltd, also a Sajjan Jindal firm, plans to build a 1,080MW coal-based power plant in Barmer in Rajasthan and a 1,200MW plant in Ratnagiri over the next few years, with a total investment of Rs11,500 crore. JSW Energy will raise Rs3,000 crore by selling a part of its promoters' stake, for which the company has already filed a public issue prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Board of India.
The group, founded by late parliamentarian O.P. Jindal, has four main companies managed by sons Prithviraj (Jindal Saw Ltd), Sajjan (JSW Steel), Naveen (Jindal Steel and Power Ltd) and Ratan (Jindal Stainless Ltd), with cross ownership through the 30 holding companies. Naveen Jindal, also a parliamentarian, sits on the board of younger brother Ratan Jindal's firm, and vice versa.
Holding companies, by law, are optional and were created for a number of reasons, said Anil Harish, legal counsel and managing partner at DM Harish and Co., a law firm that advises clients on corporate law and tax. Holding companies, he said, allowed family members to have better control, easier succession, and to save on wealth and estate tax.
Until 1993, individuals who owned shares had to pay 8% wealth tax on the value of the stock on the last day of a fiscal year. Inheritors of wealth also had to pay 65% estate duty till 16 March 1985 on the value of promoters' assets. The promoters themselves were exempt from this tax because they held shares through a holding company rather than in their individual capacity.
The holding company concept is relevant in the Indian context, said C.G. Srividya, partner at Grant Thornton India, a global consulting firm that advises companies on mergers and acquisitions, and tax. These companies can raise debt more easily, as international investors prefer to invest in these companies in their own jurisdiction, she added, referring to the fact that some holding companies such as Anil Agarwal's Vedanta Resources Plc are incorporated abroad.
Sajjan Jindal, the second son, has two listed companies—JSW Steel, which owns the 8 mt Jindal Vijayanagar Steel Ltd on the outskirts of Bangalore and cold rolling and galvanized mills in Tarapur and Vasind in Maharashtra, and Jindal South West Holdings Ltd, an investment company with interests in other companies of the O.P. Jindal group. Following a 2005 merger between Jindal Iron and Steel Co. Ltd (Jisco) and Jindal Vijayanagar Steel, Jisco's investments were hived off into a separate company, JSW Steel.
 
A single holding company would allow the family members to pool their shares to have a unified base from which to control the operating company, Harish said.
 
JSW, the largest company of the group by sales, had a market capitalization of Rs15,108 crore at the end of Friday trading on the Bombay Stock Exchange, while the market value of Jindal Steel and Power was Rs55,590 crore. Jindal Saw was valued at Rs3,738 crore and Jindal Stainless at Rs1,369 crore.
 

 


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[T.S.R:11155] market strategy

buy the stock under each sector b4 result season for good returns


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[T.S.R:11154] detail report of power sector


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[T.S.R:11142] Mid-size banks should consider M&As: Chawla

Indian mid-size banks should look at mergers and acquisitions to adjust to the changing economic scenario, Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla said on Tuesday, marking the first time the government has officially endorsed such a move.

"In the next five to 10 years, mid-size banks should look at merger and consolidation so that the structure of the banking system is changed to suit the growing needs of the economy," Chawla said at an event organised by Vijaya Bank to launch its mobile banking service.

Chawla said the country needed banks with bigger balance sheets. "I am not here to discourage bigger banks from going abroad. To a great extent size is important in today's world," he added.

 The country's largest bank State Bank of India (SBI) had merged its subsidiary State Bank of Saurashtra in August 2008. A proposal is also pending with the government to merge State Bank of Indore with SBI, which initially had seven associate banks. "The strength of SBI is welcome but other banks should also grow," said Chawla.

The finance secretary said though it was possible to argue that niche banks provided better services, optimum size was required to reduce cost of funds. "Mid-size banks should find ways and means to work together and seriously need to take a look at consolidation," he said.

Recently, SBI chairman O P Bhatt had emphasised the need for bigger banks in the country especially since they could fund the needs of a globalising Indian industry.

 

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Thanks & Regards,
Abhishek Kothari

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[T.S.R:11153] markets views


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[T.S.R:11140] day trader



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"Unless you try to do something beyond what you have already mastered,


you will never grow".
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[T.S.R:11152] market views


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[T.S.R:11151] IDBI BANK- STOCK IDEA

 IDBI Bank Ltd.
About the Company: A Development Financial Institution (DFI) transformed into a full-service commercial bank and named as Industrial Development Bank of India Ltd (IDBI). Later in 2005, IDBI Ltd. merged its banking subsidiary 'IDBI Bank' with itself, IDBI is now a universal bank. Bank has been on the path of growth by adopting a strategy of developing a larger client base in the mid-corporate, SME and retail sectors, while nurturing the deep relationships that already exist in the large corporate sector. The employee productivity of state-run IDBI Bank is the highest among all domestic banks in the country in 2008-09, according to a RBI report. In terms of profit per employee also (total profit of the bank divided by the number of employees), IDBI has done well. Recently the bank has entered into an MoU with Chevrolet Sales India Pvt Ltd (CSIPL) for providing auto finance to prospective customers of the latter. The tie-up will benefit both -- IDBI Bank in further strengthening its position in the retail loan space and CSIPL in leveraging the retail financing strength and reach of the bank. On the path of expansion, the bank along with Union Bank is planning to venture into asset management space and have approached the market regulator Sebi for approval. In the coming year, the emphasis on growth in retail business would continue, without compromising your Bank's pre-eminent position in the corporate banking business
Technicals: The counter has been a slow and steady performer and has been witnessing a continuous upside momentum since last couple of months. Counter bottomed out in March 2009 at the level of 40-45 and since then it started to retrace back to its IPO level of 130. Volumes have also seen a considerable rise since March 2009. Recently it has given a breakout of a trading range of 94-115 and is currently trading at 124. Now the next small resistance for the counter is placed at 134-135 level, a breakout above this level will give a boost to the counter for the further upside. As per other technical indicators it is trading well above the crossover of 9 & 18 days WMA and 50 days SMA. This indicates the counter is bullish in medium to long term. 14 Days RSI is trading at 73 level, with upward bias. But according to this the counter is already in over bought zone; therefore we may see some correction in prices in the near term. Overall the trend remains positive for the counter. So any dip in price levels from here will be taken as an opportunity to make fresh long position. It is taking strong support at 105 level. Next target is placed at 160.

 


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[T.S.R:11150] two picks for coming months which will make money


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[T.S.R:11147] market mantra


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[T.S.R:11138] Microsec Derivative Strategy 30th Sep 09

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[T.S.R:11146] invest for ur children

Raising kids is not an easy task for any parent. As George W. Bush said "I've been to war. I've raised twins. If I had a choice, I'd rather go to war." Whether you are the President of a country or a common man, one of the most tugging worries for every parent is always their child's safety and security, both physically as well as financially.

Our children are the future, so what are we doing to ensure the stability of their future as well?

Lets discusses how the key to preparing for your child's future needs - be it education, marriage, capital for business ventures - lies within the realm of investing, so that once they come of age and the money is required you are ready and prepared to stand by your child's side and help him or her.

First priority: Child's future

When kids are really small, they play with whatever is available from daddy's key chains and mom's purse to granddad's spectacles. Everything for them is a toy. When they grow up, key chains get replaced by Barbies, mom's purse by branded satchels and granddad's spectacles by videogames. As they grow up, so do their demands, their needs and most importantly their dreams.

The kid who wanted to be a bus driver because he was enamoured by the red colour of the BEST, today wants to be automobile engineer making only custom made cars, the child who wanted to set up a doll house for her doll now wants to be an interior designer, armed with a degree from abroad.

And, as parents, we want them to achieve their dreams. We want them to have the best of all the worlds - best schools, best colleges, and the best education possible. Children dream of flying and we want them to soar as high as possible, reaching for places we only heard of. And how do we make all this possible?

Set goals

The best initiative would be to set up goals. Parents nowadays believe that a good education is as profitable for their children's growth as a sound investment is for an investor's portfolio.

Decide on the various events of your child's life that you want to be prepared for - school, college, marriage and then work out an investment plan which would support these events.

So a parent will not only secure a few beneficial blue chip stocks, but also invest in their child's future by investing soundly right from the beginning.

Building blocks

Children love to play with building blocks and building tall towers. They carefully place one block on the next, making the former the strong foundation for the latter. As they grow up, the plain building of blocks gets replaced by various milestones- each milestone becoming the foundation for the next.

The best way the parents can ensure a strong foundation for their children is by establishing investments. The various investment options prevalent today are -

  1. Mutual funds - some fund houses offer dedicated child plans which are targeted over long term investment and growth maturation.  sips are the best way to start with, as they are a smaller monthly amount which allows you to save and invest at regular fixed intervals as opposed to a one time lump sum investment.
  2. Savings schemes such as PPF/NSC/KVP offer assured returns over a fixed tenure to benefit your child.
  3. There is also the dedicated investment option - the ULIP (United Linked Insurance Plan) which offers you life insurance along with an investment like a mutual fund. A part of the premium you pay will be set aside as the insurance cover sum assured, while the rest will be invested in investment plans such as equities, fixed return schemes etc.

Be a parent and an investment advisor

As a parent you should teach your child about the benefits of investing for long term growth. No we're not saying to teach them strategies of equity management as they learn their ABC's! As you save money for your own retirement perhaps, you can save money alongside for your child's growth and explain the necessity of such an account.

Once you introduce your child to the concept of savings and how savings can be invested wisely to further show greater returns, your child too will start savings and investing! Did you know that ducklings are known to follow whatever or whomever they have a first impression of and this is known as the baby duck theory? This theory can also be applied to your little ones! Teach them from when they are young about the benefits of investing and saving and soon you will see them following in your footsteps and saving regularly.

Just as you read the story of 'Jack and the Beanstalk' to your little child and see her eyes light up when Jack emerges triumphantly away from the evil giant, similarly your child will see how the seeds of investment that you are sowing for her future will endow her with financial security as she grows, will make both of you happy and proud.

The best way to secure your child's future is not only by making the right investments but also by teaching them how to go about handling money.

As Warren Buffet, the famous investor says, "The perfect amount of money to leave children is enough money so that they would feel they could do anything, but not so much that they could do nothing."


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[T.S.R:11145] y shud i invest in MF????

At the risk of alienating the investment world, I offer the following observation: Mutual funds are not a particularly profitable way to invest. Let me share with you my biases on this subject.

Al Jacobs

For more than four decades Ive involved myself in investments, including stocks and bonds, real estate, mortgage lending, and variety of enterprises, some of them hard to describe. However, there is one endeavor that Ive systematically avoided. It is the mutual fund. At the risk of alienating the investment world, I offer the following observation: Mutual funds are not a particularly profitable way to invest. Let me share with you my biases on this subject.

As with most activities, what we get out generally relates to what we put in. Proficiency on the tennis court requires many hours of wielding a racquet. Mastery of an academic subject necessitates study. Similarly, to place your money for favorable return, you must familiarize yourself with the intricacies of each investment. For those of us who make this an active part of our lives, questions must be askedand astutely answered. If we fail to do so, bad things happen.

This brings us to reality. The fact is, a majority of persons are unable or unwilling to analyze investments. There is something in the human psyche that tends to discourage methodical scrutiny. The average individual prefers to broad-brush most subjects while accepting pronouncements. Thus, if a banker or a broker assures that an offering is acceptable, its accepted without deliberation. As implausible as it may seem, this is how most persons conduct their financial lives.

Its from this premise that the most powerful and profitable marketing tool of the securities industry developed. Since formation in 1924 of the first open-end investment company in the United States, known as the mutual fund, its acceptance by the public has grown to become universal. Quite simply, a mutual fund controls a pool of money provided by its shareholders that it invests in a portfolio of securities selected by the funds managers. In recent years they have proliferated like mushrooms, with over fifteen thousand registered funds in existence, and total assets now exceeding $10 trillion. They exist in near-infinite varieties offering almost every conceivable mix of securities. For the potential investor with both limited expertise and assets, this type of investment vehicle seems to meet two important criteria: astute selection of securities and advantageous portfolio diversification. Whatever else you may say about the mutual fund concept, one thing is undeniable: It truly captures the essence of the average citizens disdain for financial involvement. Each participant need only exhibit the astuteness demonstrated by loveable Sergeant Hans Schultz of the 1960s Hogans Heroes TV series, who regularly declared: I see nothing! I hear nothing! I know nothing! And in reality the mutual fund was designed so that only one involvement is required by the investor: contribution of money.

Though in theory the mutual fund meets the intended needs, theory and reality do not always coincide. Before describing my fundamental concerns, let me acknowledge that many mutual funds operate satisfactorily, and that large numbers of investors profited handsomely over recent years. Recognize, however, that these favorable results did not necessarily reflect the skill of the fund managers, but rather the consequence of a period during which the major indices posted their greatest sustained rises in history. There is no particular magic involved. These funds merely rise and fall with the general fortunes of the market.

When comparing the mutual funds against direct purchase of corporate stocks, the latter provides the better return. The reason is obvious. The additional overhead costs of the mutual fund operation must be superimposed on the investment. And dont imagine that these costs are insignificant. Over the years the industry has devised ways to separate the populace from its money. Most managed funds assess loads, which are commissions charged to the buyers that run as high as 8 percent of the purchase price. Although the conventional recommendation is to avoid the load in preference to the no-load funds, many of the no-load funds incorporate equally objectionable fees. These include redemption fees, often known as "back-end loads," to be paid when the shares are sold. A variation on the redemption fee is a deferred charge when shares are redeemed within a certain number of years, known as a deferred load. Another contrivance approved in 1980 by the Securities and Exchange Commission is known as the 12b-1 plan that permits a fund to confiscate up to 1 percent per year of the fund's assets for marketing purposes. At this rate, a participant in such a no-load fund over ten years contributes 12 percent of the investment in such fees. You may add to the list of undesirables those funds that debit portions of reinvested interest, dividends, and capital gains, known as reinvestment loads, as well as other less than obvious ways some no-load funds separate client from asset.

To be certain, the lowest management fees are those assessed by index funds, which are an assembled collection of securities whose composition mimics that of a particular market index, such as the Dow Jones Industrials or the Standard & Poor's 500. As investment analysis and decision-making is not required of the managers, no justification exists for a substantial fee. However, use of the index fund raises a fundamental question: What justification is there for a mix of securities often selected at random? Its my opinion that the index fund is the logical extension of the know-nothing canon. Not only need the investor disavow knowledge of anything financial, but the same rule pertains to management. An arbitrary set of index funds can then be designed and offered in which there ceases to be any responsibility for performance. Profitability for the fund operators becomes based solely upon the fees that can skimmed from the pot. In this way, the operation of an index fund becomes an exercise in pure marketing.

This gets us to the bottom line. For those of you unwilling to take part in the management of your assets, the mutual fund is your only optioninvestment by default. For others, who aspire to see their fortunes grow, there is a world of opportunity to be embraced.


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[T.S.R:11144] pharma sector presentation


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[T.S.R:11143] reports must read


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[T.S.R:11141] report from citi wealth


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[T.S.R:11139] must read reports fro kotak pcg


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[T.S.R:11137] EOD DATA UPLOADED

EOD DATA UPLOADED AT : http://tapricos.blogspot.com/
 
VISIT www.taprico.blogspot.com ---- for live discussion and free calls with 200 plus members ---- its free too
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[T.S.R:11136] PERFORMANCE OF TODAY'S TRADING CALL@TEAM STOCKRESEARCHERS@ 29.09.09

 


 

 

DO READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE BLOG.PLEASE SEE THE BLOG FOR OUR PAST PERFORMANCE.ALSO REMEMBER THAT PERFORMANCE SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS AN EXPECTATION,INDICATION OR ACTUAL FUTURE PERFORMANCE.DO REMEMBER PROFITS ARE ONLY INDICATIVE AND MAY VARY FROM PERSON TO PERSON BASED ON HIS RISK APPETITE.




http://smscalls.blogspot.com/


 

PERFORMANCE OF TODAY'S TRADING CALL@TEAM STOCKRESEARCHERS@ 29.09.09

For future calls performance sheets
Visit http://www.future-friend.blogspot.com/

Dear Friends,

The profits are indicative in nature.

INTRADAY FUTURES PROFITS +3000 in Just 1 Lot of Trading.Charges 6600 for 2 months.

TSR NIFTY -2000 IN JUST 1 LOT.Charges 3700 for 2 months

INTRADAY OPTIONS +nil IN JUST 1 LOT.Charges 3900 for 2 months.

Here are the trading calls given by Team Stock researchers to its premium clients today.Its intra/futs/nifty futs /options service.Calls are sent by both sms and yahoo messenger.All are live calls.We dont give premarket calls.

Yahoo messenger id- TEAM_SRESEARCHERS

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for payment details OR any further query email to contact@niftyviews.com


1 calls Hits target 2 sl taken and 0 booked at costs

CASH CALLS:

BUY RELIANCE 2147 SL 2121 TRGT 2177-2199

tgt reached

BUY ROLTA 177.5-177.7 SL 176.5 TRGT 178.8-182
sl taken

Buy orchid 182 sl 179 tgt 185-186.8 #time# r2
sl taken




NIFTY CALLS:
BUY NIFTY 5001 SL 4678
BOOKED AT COST

BUY BANKNIFTY 8535-45 SL 8494 TGT 8580
SL TAKEN






OPTIONS CALLS:
29.9.09

1. #time# BUY OCT 4800CE BETWEEN 260-270, 265 NOW ,229SL,TGTS LATER.

#time# BOOK 50% HERE IN 4800CE NOW AT 280, KEEP REST FOR NEXT TGTS WITH SL AT COST OF 265.

PROFITS = 280-265= Rs. 750


2.#time# BUY OCT SUZLON 95CA BETWEEN 5-5.50, 5.30 NOW, SL 4.10 ,TGTS LATER.

LOSS = 5 - 4.75 = Rs.750

3. #time# BUY TISCO OCT 520 CA BETWEEN 17-19, 18 NOW, SL 14, TGTS LATER.

NO PROFITS


#time# BOOK OUT FULLY FROM SUZLON 95 CA NOW AT 4.75. CALL OVER. ALSO BOOK OUT FROM TISCO520CA NOW AT 17.90, CALL OVER.CE HIT TSL AT COST.

TOTAL PROFTIS = 750 - 750 = NIL

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[T.S.R:11135] Spice Islands Apparels Ltd.

Hey All
 
Offlately I heard about Spice Islands Apparels Ltd. Can anyone give his/her views on this company.
 
Regards
Vinay

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Monday, September 28, 2009

[T.S.R:11134] day trader



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[T.S.R:11130] Newsletter file attached



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[T.S.R:11132] INTRADAY CALLS FOR 29.09.09- www.Niftyviews.com

 


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[T.S.R:11133] 3 multi baggers- dont miss to buy them.

3 Multi Baggers Stocks

Scrip: – Praj Industry Ltd.
CMP: – 102
BSE Code: – 522205
52 Week H/L: – 145.70 - 45.10
Market Cap: – Rs 1,870.68

World Economic Forum (WEF) has bought out a list of 200 growth companies out of which 22 companies are from India. These companies generally considered as having potential to change the global economic landscape. Praj Industry stands at 6th in the Indian List.

Summary: -
Pune-based Praj Industries is an engineering company and is the market leader in ethanol technology. It provides turnkey project implementation services to set up ethanol distillation units. The company has developed technologies to produce ethanol from a variety of feedstock such as sugarcane, sweet sorghum, corn etc and is trying to develop a commercially viable method to convert cellulose into ethanol.Besides ethanol – which accounts for over 80% of its revenues – the company also carries out distillation for breweries and plans to enter the bio-diesel space.
Praj has executed projects in over 35 countries. Over the past couple of years, it has taken steps to strengthen its global presence. These include an acquisition in the
US and tie-ups with foreign companies in Europe and Brazil. With this, the company has established its presence in key markets across the world.

Key Financials: -
Praj's net profit has witnessed a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) of 43.2% over the past 10 years.
Considering Praj's current order book, ability to win new orders and investment in research & development, we expect the company to maintain its EBIDTA margins above 20%.

Key Negative: -
The shareholding of the promoters and public has fallen, while institutional holding is on the rise.

Key Positive: -
Ethanol and bio-diesel are gaining acceptance worldwide as eco-friendly fuels. Ethanol blending has already become mandatory for petrol in a number of countries, including its largest consumer, the US. The proportion of blending is slated to go up, with governments in the US and India mandating 10% blending over the next 2-4 years.
The company already has an order book of Rs 900 crore, which will be executed over the next 12 months. Praj is gearing up to cater to the fastpaced growth in future by expanding its capabilities. It has increased its manpower and set up its second manufacturing unit at Kandla SEZ. It has also established a full-fledged research centre for bio-fuels to develop new technologies in this field.

Stock :  Areva T&D Ltd.
CMP: – 317
BSE Code: – 522275
52 Week H/L: – 386.00 - 130.00

Summary: –
Areva T & D India Ltd. is an India-based company engaged in the business of power transmission and distribution. The Company's products and systems serve to transmit and distribute electricity, as well as operate networks through information management. Areva T & D India Ltd. is present at all stages of the supply power chain, from the generator to the end user, backed by a services portfolio. The Company has a presence in more than 30 countries.

Business: -
Areva has many 'firsts' to its credit, thus gaining market leadership in a number of products; The company commissioned India's first Extra High Voltage substation of 765 kV for NTPC in 2007. It built the largest power generating transformer for Reliance Energy in the same year. It is also a market leader in GIS (Gas Insulated Switchgear) substation. GIS are much more compact as they occupy significantly lesser space compared to AIS (Air Insulted Switchgear). Given the demand for space in the country, the company quickly capitalised on this need especially in urban substations. Areva is also expanding capacities for the high voltage transformers and GIS switchgears to cater to the growing market and retain leadership position.

Expansion: -
Areva plans to double its capacity over the next two years with Rs 700 crore investments in
Greenfield projects. The expansion move appears timely as the company, apart from catering to local demand, has also started receiving outsourced orders from its parent.
With this Rs 700 crore investment, these facilities are coming up at Padappai and Hosur in Tamil Nadu and Vadodra in
Gujarat by March 2009. With the expansions in place Areva would be able to double its Revenues over the next three years.

N Deal: -
The company already makes nuclear reactors and rotors. Its parent company is a world leader in conventional nuclear projects. It makes turbines for nuclear power stations. It supplies steam turbines to over 30% of nuke power stations globally.

Key Positive -
Areva T& D has an order book that exceeds at least one year of Revenues, thereby provding earnings visibility. The company, even during this slow down has not witnessed any major deferments that could disturb its revenue stream.
The Expansion is a key positive factor.
N Deal has been passed which is one major positive factor for this scrip to benefit.

Good Order Book. Financials are strong.

Scrip: - Larsen & Tubro (LNT)
BSE Code: – 500510
CMP: – 1645
52 Week H/L: – 1,800.00 – 557.00

Summary: -
Larsen & Toubro Limited operates in four segments. The Engineering & Construction segment comprise execution of engineering and construction projects to provide solutions in civil, mechanical, electrical and instrumentation engineering to core sectors/infrastructure industries, shipbuilding and supply of complex plant and equipment to core sectors. The Electrical & Electronics segment comprises manufacture and sale of low-voltage switchgear and control gear, custom-built switchboards, petroleum dispensing pumps and systems, electronic energy meters/protection (relays) systems, control and automation products and medical equipment. The Machinery & Industrial Products segment comprises manufacture and sale of industrial machinery & equipment, marketing of industrial valves, construction equipment and welding/industrial products. Others include ready-mix concrete, property development activity, and engineering services and embedded systems.

A long term bet: -
It is
India's largest Engineering and Construction giant.
L&T is the best managed company in
India
– Business Today survey.
Larsen and Toubro will benefit from huge infrastructure investments in
India
and Gulf regions.
Strong Order book.
L&T will be demerged into Power, IT, Ship building and Railway units along with engineering division. Investors will get very good returns after the demerger.

Employees-
LNT is reported to recrute 10,000 people in 3 yrs. This is because of its expansion.

Technically the Stock Looks good.

Company has good financial. Good management also.
A safe bet for long term investors.

 

 

 

 


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